Mnf...atl@no

[StatShark]

This is not a game I'd bet on. There are too many emotional factors going on to rely on a stats based simulation forecast. You have the game in the Superdome, Reggie Bush's home debut, Drew Brees's home debut, return of a healthy Deuce McAllister, never mind a huge game against an NFC South rival. The game will come down to Bush's ability to perform against a great Falcons defense. The Falcons have looked awesome against the run, but they haven't had to deal with a player who can catch a 3 yard pass and run for 30 yds. Of course the Saints defense hasn't had to deal with Dunn and Vick yet and expect those players to excel again. Game of the week because of the freakish athletic ability on both teams.

 

[StatShark]

Atl -4.5 36.0%
No +4.5 63.9%

Ovr 44.5 35.0%
Und 44.5 65.0%

Atl -235 52.5%
No +195 47.1%

 

[RDC-3]

looks like you hit both the side and total last night! is this the way to use Shark for football>>>>>just look at the % ages?its that easy?

 

[StatShark]

looks like you hit both the side and total last night! is this the way to use Shark for football>>>>>just look at the % ages?its that easy?

Yes and No.

You have to use the %%'s to pick your spots where the SIM model has proven to be the strongest. Using the daily line report (http://statshark.com/images/dlr/dlrarchive.pdf) as a guide in seeing where the model has had the best results, and then using that as a guide is what makes for a valuable tool.